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作者:王信捷
作者(英文):Sin-Jie Wang
論文名稱:個股星期效應與關聯規則分析
論文名稱(英文):Weekend Effect and Association Rule Analysis for Stocks
指導教授:呂進瑞
指導教授(英文):Jin-Ray Lu
口試委員:楊和利
蕭義龍
口試委員(英文):Ho-Li Yang
Yi-Long Hsiao
學位類別:碩士
校院名稱:國立東華大學
系所名稱:財務金融學系
學號:610536010
出版年(民國):107
畢業學年度:106
語文別:中文
論文頁數:50
關鍵詞:星期效應關聯規則分析投資組合
關鍵詞(英文):weekend effectassociation rule analysisportfolio
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以往對於星期效應的相關研究以市場指數為主,未探討單一個股之間是否存在星期效應,另外,對於星期效應的研究重點為「星期效應是否存在?」與「造成星期效應的原因為何?」等。本文以美國大型股票為樣本,探討個股是否存在星期效應,並以星期效應的存在與否為根據去進行關聯分析,探討透過關聯分析形成之投資組合是否能帶來獲利。我們發現個股並不全面具有星期效應。我們的實證結果支持投資人可以挑選出無星期效應之個股,找到各自的內部關聯形成具有高獲利與高勝率的投資組合。
The previous studies regarding the weekend effects have focused on market index rather than stocks, and have concerned about the existence and reasons of the weekend effects. Examining US stocks with big size, the current study identifies if the weekend effect exists within the stocks. The study also analyzes if the portfolios which are recommended by the association rule can be profitable. Our results show that the weekend effect appears within some stocks, but not all stocks. The stock portfolios constructed by non-weekend-effect stocks and by the association rule analysis can be profitable and can have high winning rate.
摘要.............................................................i
Abstract......................................................ii
目次...........................................................iii
圖次............................................................v
表次...........................................................vi

第壹章 前言..............................................1
第一節 研究動機.......................................1
第二節 研究目的.......................................3
第三節 研究結果.......................................4
第四節 研究貢獻.......................................4
第五節 研究架構.......................................5

第貳章 文獻探討.......................................7
第一節 星期效應.......................................7
第二節 關聯分析.....................................11
第三節 投資組合.....................................12

第參章 資料與研究方法...........................13
第一節 資料來源.....................................13
第二節 星期效應的假設檢定....................13
第三節 關聯分析.....................................14
第四節 投資組合績效..............................17
第五節 研究流程.....................................19

第肆章 實證結果分析...............................21
第一節 星期效應的統計檢定與分組...........21
第三節 關聯分析......................................22
第四節 關聯投資組合的敘述統計...............24
第五節 勝率評估......................................24
第六節 績效預測......................................25

第伍章 結論與建議...................................27
第一節 結論.............................................27
第二節 建議.............................................28

參考文獻...................................................29
中文參考文................................................29
英文參考文獻.............................................29
中文參考文獻
1. 于文睿,2016年,「臺灣股市於週末效應下之投資人委託決策-以週一開盤後兩小時為例」,元智大學經營管理碩士班碩士論文。
2. 李春旺,1988年,「股票行為與規模效應︰台灣股票市場實證研究」,國立政治大學企業管理學研究所博士論文。
3. 李映澍,2017年,「台灣股票市場週末效應與長假效應之探討」,南臺科技大學財務金融學系碩士班碩士論文。
4. 黃文,王正林,2016年,「利用R語言打通大數據的經脈」,佳魁資訊,6-2至6-18頁。
5. 黃俊郁,1985年,「股票投資報酬週末效應之研究」,國立政治大學企業管理學研究所碩士論文。
6. 楊踐為,1998年,「臺灣店頭市場週末效應之GARCH模型檢定」,證券櫃臺月刊,第21期,1-12頁。
7. 董大勇、金煒東、鄭瑤,2006年,「收益率週末效應中的非理性因素」,統計與決策,2006年第22期,97-99頁。
8. 詹淑慧、王嘉隆,2007年,「從投資人交易活動探討臺灣加權股價指數之星期效應」,經營管理論叢,第3卷第2期,47-58頁。
9. 劉志亭、張慧云,2006年,「上證180指數『週末效應』的實證分析」,青島科技大學學報,第27卷第4期,359-362頁。

英文參考文獻
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