|
Ang, A., Piazzesi, M., 2003. A No-arbitrage Vector Autoregression of Term Structure Dynamics with Macroeconomics. Journal of Monetary Economics 50: 745-787.
Bergmeir, C., Hyndman, R. J., Benítez, J. M., 2016. Bagging Exponential Smooth-ing Methods Using STL Decomposition and Box–Cox Transformation. International journal of forecasting 32: 303-312.
Chadha, J. S., Waters, A., 2014. Applying a Macro-fi nance Yield Curve to UK Quantitative Easing. Journal of Banking and Finance 39: 68-86.
Chen Y. C., Tsang, K. P., 2013. What Does the Yield Curve Tell Us about Exchange Rate Predictability? Review of Economics and Statistics 95: 185-205.
Christensen, J. H. E., Diebold, F. X., Rudebusch, G.D., 2007. The Affi ne Arbitrage-free Class of Nelson-Siegel Term Structure Models, Working paper.
Clark, T. E., West, K. D., 2007. Approximately Normal Tests for Equal Predictive Accuracy in Nested Models. Journal of econometrics 138: 291-311.
Dewachter, H., Lyrio, M., 2006. Macro Factors and the Term Structure of Interest Rates. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking 38: 119-140.
Diebold, F. X., Li, C., 2006. Forecasting the Term Structure of Government Bond Yields. Journal of Econometrics 130: 337-364.
Efron, B., 1979. Bootstrap Methods: Another Look at the Jackknife. The Annals of Statistics 7: 1-26.
Gräb, J., Kostka, T., 2018. Predicting Risk Premia in Short-term Interest Ratesvand Exchange Rates. Working paper 2131, European Central Bank.
Harvey, D. I., Leybourne, S. J., Newbold, P., 1998. Tests for Forecast Encompassing. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics 16: 254-259.
Hyndman, R. J., Athanasopoulos, G., 2018. Forecasting: Principles and Practice. OTexts.
Laurini, M. P., Hotta, L. K., 2010. Bayesian Extensions to Diebold-Li Term Structure Model. International Review of Financial Analysis 19: 342-350.
Mark, N. C., 1995. Exchange Rates and Fundamentals: Evidence on Long-horizon Predictability. The American Economic Review 85: 201-218.
Nelson, C. R., Siegel, A. F., 1987. Parsimonious Modeling of Yield Curves. TheJournal of Business 60: 473-489.
Rudebusch, G. D., 2010. Macro-fi nance Models of Interest Rates and the Economy. Manchester School 78: 25-52. Rudebusch, G. D., Wu, T., 2008. A Macro-fi nance Model of the Term Structure, Monetary Policy and the Economy. Economic Journal 118: 906-926.
Svensson, L., 1994. Estimating and Interpreting Forward Interest Rates: Sweden 1992-1994. Working Paper 4871, National Bureau of Economic Research. |